Lancashire Combined Fire Authority

Resources Committee

Meeting to be held on 8 July 2025

 

Year End Treasury Management Outturn 2024/25

 

Contact for further information:

Steven Brown - Director of Corporate Services – Telephone Number 01772 866804

 

Executive Summary

The report sets out the Authority’s borrowing and lending activities during 2024/25. All treasury activities undertaken throughout the year are in accordance with the Treasury Management Strategy 2024/25 approved by the CFA in February 2024.

 

Recommendation

The Authority is asked to note and endorse the outturn position report.

 

 

Information

In accordance with the Chartered Institute of Public Finance and Accountancy (CIPFA) Treasury Management code of practice and to strengthen members’ oversight of the Authority’s treasury management activities, the Resources Committee receives regular updates on treasury management issues including a mid-year report and a final outturn report. Reports on treasury activity are discussed on a quarterly basis with our advisors and the Director of Corporate Services.

 

Investment and borrowing decisions are taken in the light of long-term borrowing requirements, the estimated level of reserves and actual and estimated cash-flow. Consideration is also given to various risks and ensuring compliance with the Prudential Indicators. Decisions are taken in the light of current and forecasted economic situation. Therefore, this report provides information on:

 

·         An economic overview

·         Borrowing position

·         Investment activity

·         Comparison to the Prudential Indicators

 

Economic Overview

UK inflation has been relatively static throughout 2024/25. Having started the financial year at 2.3% (April), the Consumer Price Index (CPI) measure of inflation briefly dipped to 1.7% in September before ending the financial year at 2.8%. The latest data shows CPI is 3.4% (June 2025) and expectations are that it will average 3.2% over the financial year; this compares to the 2% budgeted figure.

Against that backdrop and the global economy, the Bank Rate reductions have been limited. Bank Rate currently stands at 4.5%, despite the Office for Budget Responsibility reducing its 2025 GDP forecast for the UK economy to only 1% (previously 2% in October). Borrowing is currently expensive although rates are expected to reduce over the coming year or two.

Borrowing

The borrowing levels of the Fire Authority have remained unchanged at year end at £2m with no new long-term loans being taken. The existing loans were taken out with the Public Loans Works Board (PWLB) in 2007 when the base rate was 5.75%. The maturity and interest rate of the Authority's borrowing is:

 

Loan amount

Maturity

Interest rate

£650k

December 2035

4.49%

£650k

June 2036

4.49%

£700k

June 2037

4.48%

 

Total interest paid on PWLB borrowing was £90k, which equates to an average interest rate of 4.49%. The levels of borrowings for the last six financial years are shown below:-

 

Financial

PWLB

Total

Year Ended

£

£

2019-2020

2,000,000

2,000,000

2020-2021

2,000,000

2,000,000

2021-2022

2,000,000

2,000,000

2022-2023

2,000,000

2,000,000

2023-2024

2,000,000

2,000,000

2024-2025

2,000,000

2,000,000

 

The current approved capital programme has no requirement to be financed from borrowing until 2026/27 and the debt relates to earlier years' capital programmes. While the borrowing is above its Capital Financing Requirement (CFR), which is the underlying need to borrow for capital purposes, this is because the Fire Authority has had a policy of setting aside monies in the form of statutory and voluntary minimum revenue provision (MRP) to repay debt as it matures or to make an early repayment.

 

If the loans were to be repaid early there would be an early repayment (premium) charge. Previous reports on treasury management activities have reported that the premium and the potential loss of investment income have been greater than the savings made on the interest payments therefore it has not been considered financially beneficial to repay the loans especially with the potential for increased interest rates. However, at 31 December the Authority would save £10k in interest, split over 10-years, if the loans were to be repaid early. As the Authority is budgeting a borrowing requirement to fund the capital programme from 2026/27, the additional interest on new loans would outweigh the £10k saving achieved from early repayment. This can be seen in the table below detailing PWLB rates throughout 2024/25:-

 

PWLB Rate

1 Year

5 Year

10 Year

25 Year

50 Year

Low

4.77%

4.31%

4.52%

5.08%

4.88%

Date

26/02/2025

17/09/2024

17/09/2024

17/09/2024

17/09/2024

High

5.61%

5.34%

5.71%

6.18%

5.88%

Date

29/05/2024

13/01/2025

13/01/2025

13/01/2025

09/01/2025

Average

5.14%

4.86%

5.07%

5.56%

5.32%

Spread

0.84%

1.03%

1.19%

1.1%

1.00%

 

At the close of 31 March 2025, the 1-year PWLB Certainty rate was 4.82% whilst the 25-year rate was 5.98% and the 50-year rate was 5.67%. 

 

Investments

Both the CIPFA Code and the then Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government (MHCLG) Guidance require the Authority to invest its funds prudently, and to have regard to the security and liquidity of its investments before seeking the highest rate of return, or yield. Throughout the year when investing money, the key aim was to strike an appropriate balance between risk and return.

 

To reduce credit risk to the Authority, HM Treasury’s Debt Management Office is the main counterparty for the Authority's investments via the operation of overnight deposits at 31 March 2025. This changed from the operation of a call account with Lancashire County Council from 1 October 2024.

 

The Treasury Management Strategy does permit investment with other high-quality counterparties including other local authorities. During the year the total cash held by the Authority has been positive with the highest balance being £60.2m and the lowest £27.0m. For the monies invested with Lancashire County Council/Debt Management Office the range was £38.1m to £3.5m. The overnight deposit with the Debt Management Office at year end was £29.5m.

 

By placing monies in longer term fixed rate investments, it is anticipated a higher level of interest will be earned. However, having fixed term deals does reduce the liquidity of the investments and therefore their use is limited. At the year-end fixed investments of £20.0m were in place. During the year seven fixed term investments had matured and six new investments were made. The table below shows the interest earned of £1.18m on fixed term investments in 2024/25:

 

Amount

Interest Rate

Start

Finish

2024/25 Interest

Status

5,000,000

4.80%

29/08/2024

28/08/2025

141,370

Current

5,000,000

4.70%

02/10/2024

01/10/2025

116,534

Current

5,000,000

5.65%

03/02/2025

30/09/2025

44,116

Current

5,000,000

5.50%

19/02/2025

18/02/2026

30,890

Current

5,000,000

5.60%

12/12/2023

12/09/2024

125,808

Matured

5,000,000

5.55%

17/10/2023

15/10/2024

149,774

Matured

5,000,000

5.85%

20/11/2023

18/11/2024

185,116

Matured

3,500,000

5.05%

14/12/2023

12/12/2024

123,483

Matured

5,000,000

5.50%

03/01/2025

06/01/2025

247,849

Matured

5,000,000

4.75%

19/12/2024

15/01/2025

2,260

Matured

5,000,000

5.55%

23/02/2024

21/02/2025

17,568

Matured

 

The call account provided by Lancashire County Council paid six base points (0.06%) below the base rate to 30 September 2024. From 1 October 2024 the overnight deposits with the Debt Management Office averaged five base points (0.05%) below the base rate. Each working day the balance on the Authority's current account is invested to ensure that the interest received on surplus balances is maximised. The average balance using these investments during the year was £22.5m earning interest of £1.08m.

 

The overall interest earned during this financial year was £2.27m at a rate of 5.07% which compares favourably with the backward-looking 1-month index (Sterling Overnight Index Average) which averages 4.94% over the same period. The main factor for this is fixed deposits commencing in 2024/25 with high interest rates.

 

All these investments are made in accordance with the current Treasury Management Strategy and the CIPFA treasury management code of practice.

 

Cash flow and interest rates continue to be monitored by the Director of Corporate Services and the Authority’s finance team, and when rates are felt to be at appropriate levels further fixed term deposits will be placed.

 

The levels of investments for the last six financial years are shown below:-

 

Financial

Year Ended

LCC Call Account/

DMO

£

Local

Authorities

£

Total

 

£

2019-2020

27,385,455

10,000,000

37,385,455

2020-2021

22,395,455

15,000,000

37,395,455

2021-2022

17,720,455

15,000,000

32,720,455

2022-2023

16,160,455

15,000,000

31,160,455

2023-2024

4,185,455

23,500,000

27,685,455

2024-2025

29,540,000

20,000,000

49,540,000

 

Prudential Indicators

To control and monitor the Authority’s treasury management functions, several prudential indicators are determined against which performance may be measured. From 1 April 2024 the Fire Authority were required to implement international accounting standard IFRS 16 Leases, replacing IAS 17. The standard eliminates the distinction between finance and operating leases for lessees, requiring most leases to recognise a right of use asset and liability on the balance sheet.

 

IFRS 16 has an impact on the Fire Authority’s private finance initiative (PFI) agreements which has resulted in an increase of the Authority’s other long-term liabilities, which has been included in the actual totals in the table below. The Fire Authority has identified several property leases which are impacted. The liability for these properties is not included in the table below however, the impact is expected to be within the authorised limit and operational boundary for external debt.

 

The indicators for 2024/25 are shown in the table below alongside the actual outturn position.

 


 

Indicators

£000

Actual

£000

Adoption of the CIPFA Code of Practice for Treasury Management

Adopted

Adopted

Authorised limit for external debt

 

 

A prudent estimate of total external debt, which does not reflect the worst-case scenario, but allows sufficient headroom for unusual cash movements

 

 

 

Borrowing

4,000

2,000

 

Other long-term liabilities – these relate to leases and the PFI agreements

30,000

12,444

 

Total

34,000

14,444

Operational boundary for external debt

 

 

A prudent estimate of debt, but no provision for unusual cash movements. It represents the estimated maximum external debt arising because of the Authority's current plans

 

 

 

Borrowing

3,000

2,000

 

Other long-term liabilities – these relate to leases and the PFI agreements

16,000

12,444

 

Total

19,000

14,444

Upper limit for fixed interest rate exposure

 

 

 

Borrowing

100%

100%

 

Investments

100%

100%

Upper limit for variable rate exposure

 

 

 

 

Borrowing

25%

0%

 

Investments

100%

0%

Upper limit for total principal sums invested for over 365 days (per maturity date)

25.000

0

Maturity structure of debt

Upper/ Lower Limits

Actual

 

Under 12 months

100%/nil

-

 

12 months and within 24 months

50%/nil

-

 

24 months and within 5 years

50%/nil

-

 

5 years and within 10 years

50%/nil

-

 

10 years and above

100%/nil

100%

Ratio of financing costs to revenue stream (%)

Budget

Actuals

 

Ratio of financing costs to revenue stream (%)

-1.3%

-3.0%

 

 

Financial Implications

 

The following table summarises the Financing costs for the Authority, comparing actual with budget:-

 

 

Revised Budget

£m

Actual

 

£m

Reason for variance

Interest Payable on PWLB loans

0.09

0.09

 

Interest Receivable on call account and fixed term investments

(1.05)

(2.27)

Largely due increase in call account rate in year along with new investments taken out with local authorities for the last quarter of the financial year at higher rates than anticipated when setting the budget

Minimum Revenue Provision re PWLB loans

0.00

0.00

 

Net financing income from Treasury Management activities*

(0.96)

(2.18)

 

 

* There are financing costs associated with leases and the PFI agreements, which are not included in the balances above as they are not the result of Treasury Management activities.

 

Legal Implications

None.

 

 

Human Resource Implications

None.

 

Equality and Diversity Implications

None.

 

Business Risk Implications

The Treasury Management Strategy is designed to maximise interest earned, minimise interest paid whilst maintaining an acceptable level of risk. The reviews of performance provide members with an assurance that this has been complied with.

 

Environmental Impact

None.

 

Local Government (Access to Information) Act 1985

List of Background Papers

 

Paper: Treasury Management Strategy 2024/25

Date: February 2024

Contact: Steven Brown, Director of Corporate Services

 

Paper: Treasury Management Guidance

Date: February 2017

Contact: Steven Brown, Director of Corporate Services